联合国贸发会2022年贸易和发展报告（英文）

Development prospects in a fractured world :Global disorder and regional responsesGeneva, 2023© 2023, United NationsAll rights reserved worldwideRequests to reproduce excerpts or to photocopy should be addressed to the Copyright Clearance Center at copyright.com.All other queries on rights and licences, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to: United Nations Publications405 East 42nd StreetNew York, New York 10017United States of AmericaEmail: publications@un.orgWebsite: https://shop.un.org/ The designations employed and the presentation of material on any map in this work do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.Mention of any firm or licensed process does not imply the endorsement of the United Nations.This publication has been edited externally.United Nations publication issued by the United Nations Conference on Trade and DevelopmentUNCTAD/TDR/2022ISBN: 978-92-1-113075-1eISBN: 978-92-1-002162-3ISSN: 0255-4607eISSN: 0255-4607Sales No. E.22.II.D.44iiiTable of contentsTable of contentsTable of contentsOVERVIEW .............................................................................................................. ........ I-XIIIChapter IGlobal Trends and Prospects .............................................................................. ........ 1A. Too close to the edge ..................................................................................................... ........ 21. A year of serial crises ............................................................................................... ........ 22. Global stagflation: spinning back down the years ..................................................... ........ 43. Global stagflation redux: bad news on the doorstep .................................................. ........ 9B. Growth prospects through the fog of war and inflation ................................................... ........ 111. Global growth and inflation outlook .......................................................................... ........ 122. Multiple adverse supply shocks ............................................................................... ........ 193. Localized demand pressures .................................................................................... ........ 224. Wages and markups ................................................................................................ ........ 25C. Obscured by monetary Clouds: towards a more sustainable agenda ............................... ........ 28D. Regional trends .............................................................................................................. ........ 31References ........................................................................................................................