2025年特朗普2.0与我们的应对（二）：万斯国际政治与经济政策主张解读

报告说明 !"#$ CIFER AI %&'()*+,-./0)123·45·637James David Vance89:;<=>?9@AB7Hillbilly Elegy8CDEFGH'IJKLMD.NOPQRSOTUV9WXYZ[ \%&]^_`K'abcdefg>hij!kl'gmnopqmrstuv+]rw 1. qmrw%&opxyzk"tu'{|U}~•€•^'I‚ƒ„n…k†‡9ˆ‰QŠ‹[ 2. v+]rw%&Œ•ˆŽx••‘’'mn“”K•RS–—˜™š9^›7œRS–•žŸ ¡8¢£¤¥+]†‡tu[ %&op‚¦§'ab¨Œ•ˆŽ©ª,?«¬¨-®WQ¯°[ ±"z²³´–µ¶·¸¹–º.N¸¹QRSŸ KX»¼½¾¿À[ https://cifer.pbcsf.tsinghua.edu.cn/ j!ÁÂ"à ÄÅ J.D.Vance, “Hillbilly Elegy: A Memoir of a Family and Culture in Crisis”, Harper Collins Publishers'2016Æ2. ÇÈÉ'<´.ÊËQÌÍÎÏЉB'ÑÒ´–•ÓÔ'2024[ ÕÖ׈ØÙÚÛ'†‡]^ÁÜÝÞÖßœ>w !"#$%&'( 1)4 * +,-%'( 3 * ./0123,45678'( 6)7 * +,-%39:;<'( 9 * ,4=>-%'( 11 * ./?@78-%'( 12 * DàÁÂ"ÃCÚÛwáâãÚ Þzäåæçèéêë åæ7ju8ì“”ÇÈÉíîïð9 AI ñò?[äåæçèéAPP #$ÇÈÉíîñóôŸ ¦Ž'¹õ CIFER AI ö÷øŸ¿ùú9 AI ûü´ýþ%&sÿ%!"#'ë$%&¦“è"–'-†‡]^-()op”9*+,tu-.'ì AI /¢RSŸ op9ÐY01[ êëø23?w ÇÈÉ'²³´–µ¶·¸¹–ºH4íî-.N¸¹QRSŸ KX7CIFER8U5-67¸¹Ÿ KX7CGFR8U5 êëø¦8ABCDEFGHIJ 9:;'²³´–µ¶·¸¹–º.N¸¹QRSŸ KX7CIFER8<'¡ =>?'K.Ô@A–ºÌÍRSOPŸ BC+Ÿ 8-CIFER Ÿ 8 DEF'²³´–µ¶·¸¹–º.N¸¹QRSŸ KX7CIFER8<'¡ GHI'²³´–µ¶·¸¹–º67¸¹Ÿ KX7CGFR8J•Ÿ K8 LMN'²³´–µ¶·¸¹–º67¸¹Ÿ KX7CGFR8J•Ÿ K8 Þz<´.ÊËQÌÍÎÏЉB <´.ÊËQÌÍÎÏЉB7ÇÈÉOP8QRRS–9+ropST'op.NRSUVWд9X<Y÷——´.\.NZ‘-¸¹-"#-[\-]±Q±^P++(_UV±S`9ÊËaR••9ýþ-bc9)d-ef9ñg-hi9jk'\Xl.NZ‘Q¸¹+èjm½'no,´.ÊË9+è+(gCD\p>qôrls´tuK9xR-pv´.ÊË9wxgC.NRSÎÏXyQ¿z[{KL•|}~*-ÊË•€9•ÌÍÎÏ9+è'0ˆD)<ñg'opD¿z‚ƒ[„…†‡ˆ‰https://3.cn/2e5-BCUA Þz CIFER ²³´–µ¶·¸¹–º.N¸¹QRSŸ KX7CIFER8¦*z 2017 ô 11 Š'#$z²³´–µ¶·¸¹–º'K‹z.N¸¹-.NZ‘gC±^P+Y÷9Ÿ [CIFER g"Œ•Ž•-•‘K.-’“ÌÍaRïðÈ”•ÌÍ"•–—'˜™z¦•K.sÌÍWš›.NRS–›9Ÿ Qœ•žŸ' ¡.NRS–+è9¿zQxRa[•’“.¢£¤-¥©±^¿z9Ÿ ¦Ž[KXU5ÇÈÉ•²³´–µ¶·¸¹–ºH4íî[ 目 录 一．引言 ............................................................................................................................................. 1 二．全球化批判与制造业复兴 ........................................................................................................ 2 三．贸易与关税政策 ........................................................................................................................ 5 四．技术、能源与创新政策 ............................................................................................................ 7 五．国际关系与安全观念 ................................................................................................................ 9 六．潜在影响与风险 ...................................................................................................................... 11 七．结语：万斯的政策逻辑 .......................................................................................................... 12 参考文献 .......................................................................................................................................... 14 附录 《大国竞争与世界秩序重构》各章小结 ............................................................................ 15 1 一．引言 123¦45¦637James David Vance'g>§¨638X5-./0)'¦©z-.䪫„¬é9-i®¯×°'±²DOTUVh³i?¦©R´s¨-.«?µ¶Xy}k9·¸[\¹5.@Áº8C-./0)»¼'ཾ&¦,-¿Š‹cÀ9.NOPQRSOTUV[ 639:;<=>?9@AB7Hillbilly Elegy8•Óz 2016 ô'ÁÂ,-.“ª«„¬”Ã?«?µ•9ÄÅ'op,®Ä™§9",QÔ@ˆ‰Y÷[Æ{-R•ÓdzÈ,Ô@ÕÍ9ÉÊÞ‹'IËÌ•+]ÍÎÏÐÑ›9ÐY"![\ÍÎÏ 2.0 (v'