博鳌亚洲论坛亚洲经济前景及一体化进程2025年度报告

I 博鳌亚洲论坛 亚洲经济前景及一体化进程 2025 年度报告 对外经济贸易大学出版社 中国·北京 II 图书在版编目（CIP）数据 博鳌亚洲论坛亚洲经济前景及一体化进程 2025 年度报 告. --北京 : 对外经济贸易大学出版社, 2025. 3. ISBN 978-7-5663-2688-1 Ⅰ. F130.4 中国国家版本馆 CIP 数据核字第 2025GN9585 号 博鳌亚洲论坛亚洲经济前景及一体化进程 2025 年度报告 责任编辑：张俊娟 出版发行：对外经济贸易大学出版社 邮政编码：100029 社 址：北京市朝阳区惠新东街 10 号 邮购电话：010 − 64492338 网 址：www.uibep.com 发行部电话：010 − 64492342 资源网址：www.uibepresources.com E-mail：uibep@126.com 成品尺寸：215mm×278mm 印 刷：北京博海升彩色印刷有限公司 印 张：11.25 版 次：2025 年 3 月北京第 1 版 字 数：288 千字 印 次：2025 年 3 月第 1 次印刷 ISBN 978-7-5663-2688-1 定 价：238.00 元 III 序言 ······································································ IX 编写说明及致谢 ····················································· XIII 写作团队成员 ························································· XV 执行摘要 ····························································· XVII 缩略语 ································································ XXV 上篇 亚洲经济前景与政策 第 1 章 亚洲经济前景 ··································································· 003 1.1 概述 ······································································································ 003 1.2 经济增长 ································································································ 004 1.3 就业与收入 ····························································································· 008 1.4 通货膨胀 ································································································ 010 1.5 贸易与投资 ····························································································· 013 1.6 金融市场 ································································································ 018 第 2 章 亚洲主要经济体经济政策展望 ··································· 025 2.1 外部宏观政策 ·························································································· 025 2.2 财政政策 ································································································ 027 2.3 货币政策 ································································································ 032 IV 中篇 亚洲经济一体化进程 第 3 章 亚洲经济体货物贸易一体化进程 ······························· 037 3.1 亚洲经济体货物贸易依存度仍保持在较高水平 ·················································037 3.2 亚洲工厂一体化 ························································································050 第 4 章 亚洲经济体服务贸易一体化进程 ······························· 067 4.1 亚洲经济体服务贸易 ··················································································067 4.2 亚洲数字贸易发展现状 ···············································································075 4.3 亚洲重点服务行业依存度分析（以旅游业为例） ··············································087 第 5 章 亚洲经济体直接投资融合度 ········································ 097 5.1 亚洲直接投资融合度现状 ······························